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Brazil’s Lula Tied With Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in Second-Round in Datafolha Poll

SAO PAULO, May 16 (Reuters) – A ⁠second-round ⁠runoff in October between ⁠Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ​and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro would result in a draw, the ‌latest Datafolha poll released ‌on Saturday indicated.

• According to the poll, a ⁠second-round ⁠runoff between Lula and Flavio, the son of former ​President Jair Bolsonaro, would see both men draw 45% of the vote.

• In April, the poll showed Lula attracting ​45% and Flavio 46% in the runoff, a statistical tie ⁠due ⁠to the poll’s margin ⁠of ​error of approximately two percentage points.

• According to the poll ​of 2,004 voters, ⁠Lula would get 38% in the first round, while Flavio would secure second place with 35%.

• The majority of the interviews for the latest poll took ⁠place before Intercept Brasil published a story about Flavio’s relationship ⁠with former banker Daniel Vorcaro.

• According to the story, Flavio allegedly negotiated the receipt of 134 million reais ($26.5 million) with Vorcaro, the former owner of Banco Master, to finance a film about the life of his father.

• Vorcaro is currently imprisoned amid an investigation into a scandal over Banco Master’s ⁠collapse.

• Flavio has denied any wrongdoing in his relationship with Vorcaro. Vorcaro’s defense team previously declined to comment on the Intercept Brasil report.

($1 = 5.06 Brazilian ​reais)

(Reporting by Bernardo Caram; Writing by Oliver ​Griffin; Editing by Will Dunham)

Copyright 2026 Thomson Reuters.

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